In May 2020, the White House published a report, United States Strategic Approach to the People’s Republic of China, detailing a whole-of-government strategy with respect to the People’s Republic of China (PRC). This 16 page report outlines when and how…
Tag: Economics
The Wealth Of Nations – Book Of The Month
The Wealth of Nations, written by Adam Smith, is truly a masterpiece. Billionaires such as Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger have admired and praised Adam Smith's writing. Here's a video form Berkshire Hathaway's 2015 shareholder meeting, where Warren Buffett and…
What Determines The Wages Of Your Labor?
Wages have always been a topic of discussion. I sometimes see people talk about how even after getting a 4 year degree, they barely make enough money to sustain themselves. On the other end, I see folks who never went…
The Federal Reserve Kicks The Can Down The Road
The US Stock market has been all over the place. Mr. Market becomes euphoric when any bad news is released, which isn't "that bad". Needless to say, the euphoria continues when there is any good news. With Federal Reserve's "whatever…
Is Coronavirus The Black Swan For The Stock Market?
Economy is like a machine, which has multiple interlocked gears that need to function in harmony. As Ray Dalio explains in How the Economic Machine Works, anytime there is a problem in one gear, the other gears will be affected…
Read More Is Coronavirus The Black Swan For The Stock Market?
Are Commodities In Your Portfolio?
What are commodities? Commodities are basic goods, which are often used as inputs in the production of other goods and services. Overall, there are 4 kinds of commodities: Metals, Livestock & Meat, Energy, and Agriculture. Gold, silver, copper, hogs, live…
The World Of Negative Interest Rates
The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates on July 31, 2019. This was the first rate cut since the 2007-08 financial crisis. In the latter part of 2019, with inflation at bay, the Federal Reserve has changed its stance from…
US Economy, Federal Reserve, And Interest Rates
On September 18, 2019, the Federal Reserve decided to cut the interest rate by 0.25%. This has been the second rate cut of the year. Let me illustrate what is going on with an analogy. You can think of this…
Trade War, Federal Reserve, China, Interest Rates, Currencies, And More
There has been a lot of action in the stock and the bond market recently. In this week's blog post, I will talk about my take on the current events. Let me briefly go over these current events: United States…
Read More Trade War, Federal Reserve, China, Interest Rates, Currencies, And More
Bond Yield Curve Has Inverted. Is recession around the corner?
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 460 points and S&P 500 was down 54 points when the market closed on Friday, March 22nd, 2019. This sell off was due to the presence of inverted bond yield curve. Last time…
Read More Bond Yield Curve Has Inverted. Is recession around the corner?
Keeping at It: The Quest for Sound Money and Good Government – Book of the Month
I recently listened to "Keeping at It", which is an autobiography of Paul Volcker. Paul Volcker has served under multiple US Presidents, however his most important role was as the Federal Reserve Chairman under President Jimmy Carter and President Ronald…
Read More Keeping at It: The Quest for Sound Money and Good Government – Book of the Month
China’s Economic Slowdown
On January 21 2019, China announced that its economy in 2018 grew at the slowest rate in 28 years. This news is concerning, but understandable. The US Stock Market turned negative over the concern of China's slowing economic growth. In…
How do currencies work in the World Economy?
Currencies have fascinated me ever since I was a little kid. I used to collect bills and coins of different countries. So, this topic is near and dear to my heart. How do currencies work in the world economy? Now…
How Far is The Next Downturn?
It is said that history repeats itself. So, why don't we use historic data to figure out where we might be headed? Are we due for a recession? What does your gut say? Let's see if you are right. For…
Value versus Price
While learning about value investing, one of the first concepts that I had to understand was the difference between price and value. This is the core concept that differentiates value investors from everyone else. Let's talk about this in detail.…
Health of the US Economy
With the recent decline in the US stock market, I decided to do some research to figure out the health of the US Economy. Using the 4 indicators that I mention below, we can gauge how well the US Economy…
Is Carry Trade Profitable?
Imagine getting paid interest everyday for holding onto a trade. You don't need to be actively trading or constantly looking at the market - all you need to do is HOLD! When I was learning to trade Foreign Exchange, I…
How the US Economy affects the World Economy?
Have you ever wondered how much influence can one country actually have on the world? Let's see how much influence the United States has on the workings of foreign countries. This influence gets stronger by the day due to globalization.…
What moves the United States Dollar?
You might have heard the phrase "strong dollar" and "weak dollar" thrown around by media outlets. What does that actually mean? We discussed in a previous blog post the implication of "strong dollar" and "weak dollar" on economies; if you…
A Value Investor’s Mentality
I have traded Stocks, Options, and Foreign Exchange (Forex). I have scalped the EUR/USD pair, and I have spent numerous hours looking at chart patterns on various time frames for that perfect swing trade opportunity. I have made countless trading…
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